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  • Hot Take: The Road to Toronto

    Throughout the season, the clubs’ trips to the Rogers Center in Toronto has been the outing of who is COVID-19 vaccine compliant and who is not. Canada is holding onto the COVID-19 restrictions much tighter than the US, so when a club heads north, it tells you a lot about who has gotten their vaccines in order, and who hasn’t.

    This time, it’s the Cubbies who have to deal with this. Fortunately, only two of their players have decided not to be vaccine compliant. Pitchers Justin Steele and Adrian Sampson will be on the restricted list and waiting back and home for the boys to make their trip to face the Blue Jays.

    Steele has pitched a lot of innings. Is he the Cubs strongest pitcher? Well, he’s pretty good.

    But, he also has chosen to remove himself from an important series by deciding not to get vaccinated.

    “It’s not ideal, but it’s also baseball in 2022,” Cubs president of baseball operations Jed Hoyer said on Thursday in Chicago. “Really, every team has had to go through this exact situation in some form or manner when they go up in Toronto, and we’re no different. We’re just doing it in August.”

    MLB.com

    And yeah, we’re supposed to respect everyone’s personal choices on their own healthcare. I apply this across nearly all situations. But, is it dumb? Yeah, as a hot take, it is dumb. He’s also relatively injury-prone.

    Steele is also making decent money. $705k in the 2022 season as part of his annual contract. Ok, that’s not Stroman, Heyward, Hendricks, Miley, or Contreras money, but it’s nothing to shake a stick or a bat at either. I’d assume you and I would probably do what we needed to do to be professionally available at those salary levels.

    And that’s the rub. Maybe this is the MLB version of “quiet quitting,” but if all I needed were a couple shots to make sure I could start at an opposing team’s field, and you’re giving me a $705k bag, yeah, I’m going to let the doctors inject whatever they need to into me to get me to the ballpark. Are there dumber situations out there? Sure. Yankee’s Chapman will be added to the IL list for an infection he got while getting some ink. Still, it makes sense to me that anyone who gets to play this game as a profession, should be willing to do what it takes to protect themselves and others from this disease.

  • All Things in Life Need Balance

    And, in 2023, the MLB will rollout a balanced schedule. What this means is that every team in the MLB will play every team at least once.

    Technically, the balanced schedule should limit the advantage that strong teams in weak divisions have over other teams with deeper divisions. Also, this brings a lot of great exposure for teams across all markets, and should be a huge win for baseball fans.

    “This new format creates more consistent opponent matchups as Clubs compete for Postseason berths,” MLB chief operations and strategy officer Chris Marinak said in a release, “particularly in the recently expanded Wild Card round. Additionally, this fan-friendly format provides fans with the opportunity to see more opponent matchups, with a particular focus on dramatically expanding our most exciting Interleague matchups, and offers more national exposure to the star players throughout our game.”

    MLB.com

    Personally, I love this schedule. Living in Des Moines, IA, the closest MLB stadium is Kauffman in Kansas City. As a Cubs fan, nothing compares to a game at Wrigley, but I’ll take baseball where I can get it.

    2023 Kansas City Royals Schedule

    So, for example, within a 2.5 hour drive, I can catch the the A’s at Kauffman in May, as well as seeing the Mets in early August. The Dodgers will be there at the end of June/beginning of July. The Cubs will play the Royals each year, and in 2024, the Cubs will likely be in KC.

    I think about the experience that my friends living in major markets have, compared to those of us living in Triple A towns. Will seats go fast when some of the biggest clubs in the MLB come to KC? Probably. Will lines be long? For sure. But, that’s hopefully what a bit of this schedule will add to the romance of major league baseball.

  • Let’s Talk about Tatis Jr.

    Fernando Tatis Jr is a beast. The stats say all you need to know. His slugging percentage over the past three seasons is .596, which means he’s got power. He gets on base. Between 2019 and 2021, he racked up 81 home runs. He rounds bases. He is a powerful core of the San Diego Padres.

    He’s also getting $340 million over 14 years. Well, except for the rest of the 2022 season and the start of next season. That is because, in part, beyond all of this insurmountable wealth, he apparently doesn’t have any professionals in his life consulting him on appropriate ringworm treatments.

    This is the same guy who got himself into a motorcycle accident prior to the season.

    I’m not an investment professional, but if you have a contract worth $340 million, you have to surround yourself with people who are going to help you protect the investment that is you.

    I have been informed by Major League Baseball that a test sample I submitted returned a positive result for Clostebol. I should have used the resources available to me in order to ensure that no banned substances were in what I took. I failed to do so. 

    I want to apologize to Peter, AJ, the entire Padres organization, my teammates, Major League Baseball, and fans everywhere for my mistake. I have no excuse for my error, and I would never do anything to cheat or disrespect this game I love.

    I have taken countless drug tests throughout my professional career, including March 29, 2022, all of which have returned negative results until this test. 

    I am completely devastated. There is nowhere else in the world I would rather be than on the field competing with my teammates. After initially appealing the suspension, I have realized my mistake was the cause of this result, and for that reason I have decided to start serving my suspension immediately. I look forward to re-joining my teammates on the field in 2023.

    Statement by Tatis Jr via CBS Sports

    Clostebol is a muscle-building agent. You won’t find it in ringworm meds in the US. I don’t know. It seems fishy. Now his people have him on a late summer apology tour. He just wrapped up a press conference to apologize to everyone on the planet.

    Via TJ Sports

    “I’m truly sorry. I have let so many people down. I have lost so much love from people. I have failed,” Tatis continued. “I’m going to remember what this feels like, and I’m not going to put myself in this position ever again. I know I have a lot of love that I have to recover. I have a lot of work to do, it will be a very long process. I’m learning, I’m maturing.”

    Fernando Tatis Jr.

    He’s got to build back trust. He already wasn’t part of the equation this situation, as he was rehabbing from his wrist injury. The Padres are going to be ok. His judgement has created a missed opportunity for the team that really was pulling things together. They’re 17.5 games behind the Dodgers at this point, but they’re still relatively strong.

    I hope Tatis Jr. finds himself some good counsel in the upcoming years. His judgement to date is really messing with his future.

  • Crackin’ Packs: Episode 2

    Ever wonder what’s inside those “mystery packs” you might find at the store? Let’s take a look in this episode of Mostly Baseball’s Crackin’ Packs.

  • Having a Catch

    As the 2022 Field of Dreams game opened between the Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds, the camera found Ken Griffey, Jr, standing among the stalks of corn. He emerges on the field, followed by his father, Ken Griffey. Jr turns to Sr and asks, “Hey Dad, do you want have a catch?” The two proceed to start tossing the ball back and forth to each other.

    Video clip courtesy of MLB and the Griffeys

    The moment sparked a deep emotion within me. Even at 43, the memories of playing catch with my dad in the yard are still fresh and vivid. Among all the memories I have with my dad, playing catch feels like the one that is steeped in the most tradition.

    Catch at our house was usually in the evening, after dinner. Dad had likely spent a long day, embroiled in adult work life, in his office at his desk, or at conference room tables across from clients. My dad was a sales guy. It wasn’t where his career had started out, but it became the part of his career with the greatest momentum. His sales career afforded us a comfortable life, with plenty of the family style vacations you’d expect from the 1980’s…pack up the car and traverse the country, seeing the kinds of attractions that would capture your imagination from the lobby of a motel, where a rack of brochures about cave tours, alligator farms, scenic by-ways and more would promise a family all the fun that could be imagined during those Reagan years.

    The relationship I developed with my dad was accentuated by sports, namely Chicago sports. We spent winters and springs watching the Chicago Bulls chase after the championship title. In the early fall, Sunday afternoons might include a bit of a Chicago Bears game, before nodding off for a quiet nap in the family room between lunch and supper. Our old tube television would glow brightly from day games from Wrigley. The radio in the garage was usually tuned either to NPR or a distant Chicago station to pick up a Cubs game.

    My dad was there when I picked out my first baseball cap, a Minnesota Twins cap that featured the “M” logo. I’m sure he would have encouraged me to grab a Cubbies cap at that point, but he understood the mania that surrounded Kirby Puckett.

    Through it all, we’d walk out of the garage and snag our ball gloves off a shelf. Dad had an old Spalding glove. He had played on the company’s slow pitch softball team. He used an outfield’s baseball glove and the pocket was deep and big, considering he was fielding softballs with it. I’m almost completely certain mine was a Franklin, but the printed logo had long faded after summer after summer of use and abuse. The wrist band would be slotted through my handlebars for days on end of riding my bike to friends’ houses with the hope that we might play a bit of catch and then tugged off to settle next to my dad’s glove when I returned home.

    But, there we would be, at opposite ends of the front yard, tossing the ball back and forth, talking about what had transpired throughout the day and what we had on our minds about the upcoming weekend or the next family vacation.

    I was not a great ballplayer, but catch was definitely my speed. I was, however, a good son, and was happy to build those memories with my dad, night after night, hanging out in the front yard tossing the ball back and forth.

    To all those parents and their kids out there: Making a memory of playing catch at the Field of Dreams is clearly awesome. But, don’t neglect the impact of those moments in the yard. They will be remembered long after either one of you hang up the glove for the last time.

  • The Return of Jeff McNeil

    We gotta talk about The Met’s Jeff McNeil. It has been a lot of fun watching the Met’s this season, but especially Jeff McNeil.

    Jeff’s 2022 Topps Heritage Look

    Let’s take a look at where pitches are being thrown at McNeil’s at-bats.

    Credit: Savant Illustrator

    Admittedly, 2021 was a tough year. As of 8.7.2022, McNeil’s 2022 batting average is a .304. He’s been hot recently, with a BA well above that. Maybe McNeil is getting back into the groove. Hope so. Hope by the end of the season he’s back to the 2018-2020 levels, and 2021 is well in the rear-view mirror. Just think back to McNeil’s 3-run homer on May 28, 2022. This guy shuts down the hecklers.

    Credit: Baseball-Reference.com
  • Crackin’ Packs: Episode 1

    We’re crackin’ open packs

    First episode of Mostly Baseball’s Crackin’ Packs is up. Picked up a pack of 2021 Topps Big League Baseball cards from Target. Let’s see what we get.

  • End of An Era?

    On the eve of the trade deadline, I’m on pins and needles awaiting the fate of two of my favorite Cubbies…Willson Contreras and Ian Happ.

    The rumors have been swirling for the past three weeks. It put a damper on their All-Star Game appearances. It made for a bittersweet battle with the Pirates at Wrigley on July 26th, as potentially Contreras and Happ played their last game in front of the ivy. Yeah, the Cubbies won, but any of that game pales to the crowd’s ovation for both players and the hug in the dugout as the fans started to empty out.

    Willson was part of the iconic 2016 Cubs team. Happ came on in 2017, steadily growing into a focal point of the team over recent years. These guys are leaders in the clubhouse and on the field.

    And, as much as the media likes to revel in all of the rumors, I think it takes a real toll out on the field. Willson isn’t the only one who’s expressed that he’s ready for the trade deadline to be in the rear view mirror. I mean, yeah, they’re cranking out the hits, but it’s got to be terribly difficult to do so, with the thought that it could be a last inning with a team you’ve called home for years.

    Willson, you’ll always be a Cubbie. You’ll always have a spot out on the field, just like Rizzo and the rest of the 2016 crew. I’m hoping both Happ and Contreras are taking the field in Cubbie blue on Wednesday in St. Louis.

  • 18 Seasons Above .500

    I love the Chicago Cubs, and given the team’s history, it’s probably not much of a surprise that the Cubs’ 2016 World Series Championship felt surreal. The Cubbies won the World Series in 1907 and 1908, and then not again until 2016. It was more than a drought.

    But, let’s look at the past 50 years of Cubs’ performance, from 1972 to 2021. This is as good of a time as any to give a shout out to Sean Lahman and the crew working on the Baseball Archive. It’s incredible stuff. The data behind these graphs comes from the dataset, End of the Season, 2021, 1996 to 2022 by Sean Lahman.

    As shown in the graph above, the Cubs hit a high in 2016, with a season win percentage of 63.6%. Certainly not too shabby, especially compared to the previous stretch from the early 1970’s on. From 2012, to 2016, the team was building. You could say the team was building from 1908, but let’s stay focused on the modern era. We’d seen this before. The 1981 season ended with a win percentage of 35.8%. By season end in 1984, the team had climbed out of the deep valley of sorrow, to a season win percentage of 59.6%. It would be the strongest season until 2008.

    You might be thinking, what is the share of wins a team needs to be crowned the World Series Champs? The Chicago Cubs had the 8th highest win percentage of any World Series Champion team since 1972. Interestingly, the Cardinals and Twins won their World Series with shy of 53% wins during the regular season in 2006 and 1987, respectively. I think I may have been at one of those regular season Twins games. I remember being in the stadium and waving a Homer Hankie. I suspect Kirby was knocking them out of the park. But, I was also probably more focused on frozen ropes than the at bat ratio.

    We know that the Cubbies need a lot of runs to win games. Although offense isn’t the only aspect of winning, it sure is a lot of what makes a win. 2016 wasn’t the 50-year high for runs, but it was certainly in the top tier. You’re probably staring at that weird left-most outlier. That’s 2020 data. The pandemic was not kind to getting many games in, but we did get some baseball and that’s all I could have asked for.

    2008 was another good year for runs, as was 2017 and 2019. Neither of those years translated to WSC, but it had us dreaming. Even with all those runs, the competition was strong and there were holes in the defense. Regardless, it’s interesting to look at run and hit comparisons.

    Before the 2022 season began, I was talking with a friend who asked where I saw the Cubs’ season win percentage landing. As of today, we’re at .406 and are sitting in third place in the NL Central. We’re in the back half of the season. The trade deadline is two days away. I’m hoping we can hit .430 for the season and keep the rebuilding happen. Besides, there have only been 18 seasons over .500 in the last 50 years.

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